Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.023477 0.025235 0.027066 0.029119 0.031359 0.033732 0.036438
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.020414 0.022921 0.025670 0.028920 0.032668 0.036869 0.041953
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018525 0.021487 0.024866 0.029023 0.034027 0.039892 0.047335
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016871 0.020077 0.023847 0.028638 0.034610 0.041869 0.051451
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015460 0.018793 0.022814 0.028064 0.034806 0.043261 0.054809
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014425 0.017868 0.022115 0.027798 0.035292 0.044962 0.058590
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013534 0.017046 0.021467 0.027513 0.035679 0.046495 0.062184
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012626 0.016137 0.020635 0.026906 0.035560 0.047291 0.064759
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012159 0.015769 0.020477 0.027169 0.036609 0.049715 0.069761
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011630 0.015282 0.020123 0.027126 0.037204 0.051505 0.073933
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011279 0.015015 0.020043 0.027447 0.038315 0.054078 0.079431
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010770 0.014499 0.019588 0.027197 0.038562 0.055371 0.083022
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010339 0.014075 0.019245 0.027097 0.039033 0.057039 0.087351
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009857 0.013557 0.018742 0.026729 0.039070 0.058033 0.090649
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009536 0.013254 0.018533 0.026783 0.039749 0.060056 0.095785
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009122 0.012796 0.018072 0.026425 0.039751 0.060983 0.099105
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008691 0.012295 0.017524 0.025901 0.039453 0.061388 0.101525
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008364 0.011934 0.017169 0.025659 0.039589 0.062508 0.105279
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008054 0.011585 0.016817 0.025399 0.039676 0.063538 0.108928
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007689 0.011141 0.016298 0.024847 0.039240 0.063635 0.110835
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007538 0.011016 0.016270 0.025087 0.040151 0.066126 0.117445
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007330 0.010795 0.016079 0.025048 0.040576 0.067770 0.122540
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007208 0.010703 0.016089 0.025340 0.041588 0.070529 0.130045